A low pressure area has been created just off the Tamil Nadu coast. This low pressure could possibly be a cyclone as it progresses and intensifies and is heading towards the coast of West Bengal and Bangladesh. Read the news to know details.
Cyclone Remal Highlights
- Tamil Nadu coast experiences the creation of a low pressure area just off its coast.
- This would turn out into a depression by May 24, 2024.
- Further it will intensify and reach north east and adjoining areas in the north west Bay of Bengal by May 25, 2024.
- Weather forecasting agencies such as India Meteorological Department (IMD), Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC), The Weather Tracking (TWC) and windy.com have predicted the same.
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Formation of Low Pressure Area Over Bay of Bengal
A low pressure area which could possibly be a cyclone (Cyclone Remal) is formed over southwest and adjoining west central Bay of Bengal. This happened in the early morning hours of May 22, 2024.
What does the India Meteorological Department (IMD) say?
- As per IMD, this low pressure area is formed over southwest and west central portions of Bay of Bengal and could turn out to be the first depression of the season. This was reported on the morning of May 22, 2024.
- Further, the storm is likely to move northeast and intensify into a depression further which could happen by the morning of May 24, 2024.
- Moving further and intensifying further, the storm is likely to reach northeast and adjoining northwest Bay of Bengal by the evening of May 25, 2024.
What does the Joint Typhoon Warning Center(JTWC) say?
- The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) has also indicated a depression into Bay of Bengal.
- The agency, which belongs to the United States Navy, has identified conditions favorable for the generation of depression which could possibly be a cyclone.
- Conditions becoming favorable which are warm sea temperature i.e., 28-29 degree Celsius along low vertical wind shear on all global models.
What are the conditions for the growth of Storm?
This coast of Bay Bengal is very much prone to cyclones. 5 to 6 cyclones occur every year out of which 2-3 are severe and cause a lot of loss to life and property. The same behavior is not observed along the Arabian sea. 262 cyclones (92 severe) and 33 cyclones (19 severe) occurred along the coastline of Bay of Bengal and along the coastline of Arabian Sea respectively between 1891 and 1990.
A warm sea temperature is the primary reason for the growth of the storm. Temperatures in excess of 26 degree Celsius are the suitable temperature conditions. The overlying atmosphere receiving continuous water vapors by evaporation could lead to the initial formation of a storm or cyclone.
Along with this formation of large vertical clouds due to convection with condensation of rising air into the overlying atmosphere are the causes for the generation of storms.
Statements by other Weather Forecasting Agencies
- Low pressure areas just off the coast of Tamil Nadu are shown by the weather analysis and visualization platform Windy.com
- Windy.com uses the data from the US Global Forecasting system (GFS) and the agency predicts that by the morning of May 26, 2024, cyclone Remal would be formed in the northwest Bay of Bengal. It may further move to the west coast of West Bengal and Bangladesh.
- The Weather Tracking (TWC) also highlighted the concerns regarding the formation of the cyclone in the region. TWC wrote on its website “There’s a consensus that a cyclonic storm is more likely than a more intense system. The Weather Channel’s meteorological team suggests the possibility of a cyclone forming, but the chances of it intensifying into a severe or very severe cyclonic storm are slim,”
- Light to moderate rainfall has been predicted by IMD in the areas of coastline adjoining Bay of Bengal. North and South 24 Parganas and Purba Medinipur Districts of West Bengal and Balasore district of Odisha are likely to experience heavy rainfall on May 25-26. And similar predictions have been made for Mizoram, Tripura and South Manipur.
- TWC forecasts 200mm or higher levels of rainfall in the north eastern belts of Indian states named Assam, Manipur, Tripura, Meghalaya and Mizoram in between May 26 to May 28, 2024.
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